Peak Oil - Dec 12
by Staff
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(7 December 2005) Copper may be approaching Hubbert's Peak In a presentation to the Northwest Mining Association convention in Spokane, Washington, Beaty--the Chairman of Pan American Silver--predicted that the bottom line may mean that low-grade copper deposits will have to be developed internationally to keep up with soaring demand for the metal. However, he added, copper prices would have to go even higher to make the development of these deposits feasible. Latin America's oil production past its peak Considering all of Latin America, ASPO's data points out that the region reached its oil production peak in 1998, while the peak of oil discovery came in 1977. Normally, any oil producing region, be it a single field or an entire continent, reaches its peak production rate some time after discoveries reach their maximum. ASPO's data is consistent with that methodology. While the data relies on public sources and is subject to rounding, ASPO claims that its compilation is a useful tool to determine the general oil production trend. Latin America's oil deposits are depleting at a rate 3.3% per annum, according to the data.
A House energy subcommittee met Wednesday morning to learn more about the so-called peak oil movement, which claims that by 2008 humans will have extracted half the earth's oil. In other words, we're using oil faster than we can ever hope to retrieve it. "We have all been enjoying the greatest party the world has ever seen: the great oil party," said Kjell Aleklett, president of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil, or ASPO, and a physics professor at Uppsala University in Sweden. Aleklett appeared as a key witness at the hearing. The professor said in a paper last year, "After the climax comes the decline, when we have to sober up and face the fact that the party is coming to an end." The hangover would mean not only the end of low oil prices but also a slowdown in world economic growth. The morning after could also lead to social and political unrest as many countries try to keep the party going even as oil disappears. While there is debate over when this peak will occur, said Rep. Wayne Gilchrest, R-Md., everyone can agree on one thing. "At some point in this century, oil production will peak and then decline," Gilchrest testified. "But more uncertainty calls for more caution, not less. And in this case, caution means finding alternatives."
...With this commentary, Light Rail Now initiates a series we're calling Electrification 101 - a discussion aimed at informing transportation professionals, decisionmakers, and the public at large of the value and advantages of electrifying transportation operations, and the electrification of public transport systems in particular. This commentary, the first article in our series, has been slightly adapted from a professional paper prepared by the author. Alan S. Drake is an engineer, former accountant, and professional researcher based in New Orleans.
The 800-CEO-READ Best Books of 2005:
Aardolie is een droom van een brandstof. Het zit al miljoenen jaren klaar onder de grond voor ons, de mobiele mens. We hoeven het maar op te pompen. Dat doen we dan ook vol enthousiasme. Wereldwijd jaagt de mens er per dag meer dan tachtig miljoen vaten door. Maar de olievoorraden slinken snel. Wat staat een modaal Vlaams gezin te wachten als er binnen twintig jaar helemaal geen olie meer zal zijn? En hoe zal dat gezin zich verplaatsen als de olie al binnen enkele jaren onbetaalbaar wordt? Wetenschappers roepen al jaren dat er dringend een olievervanger moet komen voor de energieverslaafde mens. Een nieuwe brandstof die ook beter is voor het milieu. Daar zijn alle wetenschappers wereldwijd het roerend over eens. Maar welke brandstof dat precies moet worden, daar zijn ze minder eensgezind over. "over leven" geeft een stand van zaken. |
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