A letter to President Bush regarding “The Surgeâ€
by Neal Brandvik
I have a feeling President Bush is fully aware of Peak Oil and the stakes on the table for America. I think he was speaking from his heart when he said in his State of the Union Address, "America is addicted to oil!" I evem have a hunch that every morning President Bush is in the Oval Office he fires up his computer and can't help but sneak a peek at www.energybulletin.net to check out the latest Peak Oil news. I was going to e-mail this letter to www.whitehouse.gov but, realistically, it has a better chance of reaching the President if I post it here. Dear President Bush, Your troop surge in Iraq is working! General David Petraeus' counter insurgency strategy appears to have pacified Anbar province. Your latest strategy has proven that "success" in Iraq is possible! All we need to do is repeat the strategy used in Anbar province throughout Baghdad and ultimately in every population center throughout Iraq. Victory in Iraq will be ours! Therein lies the root of the problem. A real "surge" that will pacify the entire country of Iraq will require at least a million troops. Our all-volunteer military will never be able to make that number. So if you honestly feel the conflict in Iraq will make or break America, it's time to ask all Americans to sacrifice for the effort. You need to bring back the draft and ramp up the boots on the ground for the real surge. Hey, maybe you can evoke images of the movie "300" in your speeches to motivate the American people for a final "Victory Surge" in defense of democracy. You have a big problem though. If you do this, you will need to come clean about why we need to complete this vital mission in Iraq. You really have no choice. Because once every American has their skin in the game, they will suddenly become highly engaged in the life or death decisions being made by their leaders in Washington. Most will get educated on the history of the Middle East and America's increasing entanglement in this troubled region. They will learn about the long list of dictators we installed and/or supported from the Shah to Saddam Hussein to the current dictators of Saudi Arabia. They will ask why we aren't fighting for democracy in Zimbabwe or Burma? They will discover or recall that, "oh yeah, the Persian Gulf area contains 2/3 of the remaining oil on the planet." Some may dig deep into the cyber archives of Energy Bulletin and find Dick Cheney referring to the Persian Gulf area as "The Prize" in his 1999 speech in front of the Institute of Petroleum. They may discover that Iraq is the most unexplored oil producing country in the Middle East. A few may pick up Mathew Simmon's book "Twilight in the Dessert" that asserts the Saudi oil bonanza may start to wind down soon leaving us no choice but to find another giant oil spigot in the Middle East to lean on. Many will recall that 15 Saudi terrorists perpetrated the September 11th attacks and wonder why we haven't taken any punitive actions against the Saudi government for funding the radical religious schools that continue to spawn hatred for America. They will remember those 28 pages redacted from the first government 9-11 report regarding the role of the Saudi government in 9-11 and wonder why they continue to be hidden. Americans will start to connect the dots and realize the notion of "energy security" is an oxymoron if most of the world's energy comes from the most un-secure region in the world. A picture of a once great country refusing to confront its underlying weakness, thereby digging its own grave, will start to coalesce. At some point they will Google their way to the term "Peak Oil" and realize we don't have to "run out of oil" before we experience the tragic economic consequences of our oil addiction. They will conclude that making the ultimate sacrifice to defend a dying energy paradigm is not the same as defending their country. Someday down the road America will conquer its oil demon or "the world's last great hope" will cease to exist as we know it. Most, especially the younger generation, will be unwilling to give up their lives and futures to extend the cheap oil party a few more years. Do you think the 1960s radicals were unruly? Just wait. But don't fret Mr. President. There is one other option. I have an idea that will transform your presidency and your legacy. The beauty of this idea is that you won't even have to stick your neck out. You will be handing off your dilemma to where it belongs anyway - in the collective lap of the American people. Stay with me. Here it goes: After General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker give their reports on "The Surge," announce a joint session before Congress in prime time to address the American people on a new strategy for victory in Iraq. Your speechwriters can insert some drama but here are the 10 main points to make:
Some ideas for Option B:
That's all the ideas I can think of for now. You can find a lot more by searching through the archives of www.energybulletin.net . Seriously consider my proposition Mr. President. Let me remind you that if you continue the current course in Iraq, nothing dramatic will change and the American people will get their referendum on Iraq in the 2008 election. A special referendum election will pre-empt the Democrats' use of the war as a political weapon against your party. If the American people choose to continue "surging" in Iraq at their own expense, the Democrats will have to get behind the effort. If the American people declare war on our oil addiction (you know they will), you and your party capture the high ground in the defining issue of the 21st Century - Energy! This is a win - win for you and the Grand Old Party! Many Americans are angry because they feel they were misled about your real motives for getting us to war in Iraq. This is your opportunity to come clean, clear the slate and prove how much you believe in the democratic process. You have to trust that if given the real choices confronting the American people, they will choose wisely. If you believe in the divine providence of our democratic republic then you know this to be true. To be honest, you passed on one opportunity to free us from our energy dilemma in your speech in front of a joint session of Congress on September 20th, 2001. This is another opportunity for bold leadership in a time of crisis. If it works, I guarantee that monuments will be built to honor your courage during the 11th hour of the Peak Oil crisis. P.S. If you take a pass on my proposition, one of the 2008 presidential candidates just may read it and decide to consider it. Do you really want to take the chance that Hillary Clinton goes down in history along side of Washington and Lincoln? Editorial NotesFrom out of the mouths of satirists, striking truths often emerge. In fact, this is a plausible scenario that just might be floating around Republican think tanks. The main points are similar to the arguments of some conservatives, military thinkers and intelligence analysts (several ex-CIA directors in fact). The proposal would ensure Mr. Bush's place in history. Such surprises as this would be are not unknown. Anti-communist Richard Nixon was the President who opened relations with the People's Republic of China. Former Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev brought an end to the Cold War. If Mr. Bush declines Neal Brandvik's advice, perhaps the new Democratic President would be open to it, since he or she will be facing essentially the same dilemmas: Iraq, dependence on foreign oil, peak oil, global warming. Neal Brandvik is a software consultant who occasionally writes articles for Energy Bulletin. -BA UPDATE: A few more ideas for any Republican strategists who may be looking in: You have a gem in U.S. Congressman Roscoe Bartlett (R-Maryland). Just ask him what to do. Has he got a plan for you! Thomas Friedman has a ready made public relations strategy. For example: Seeds for a Geo-Green party and elsewhere. As he says, "Green is the new red, white and blue." Put a call in to ex-CIA director James Woolsey and former Secretary of Defense and Secretary of Energy James Schlesinger. Or look for the various articles by military analysts that we've archived at Energy Bulletin. For that matter, I wonder what the current Secretary of Energy Samuel Bodman could tell you. One senses that he has many more ideas than he has been able to speak about in public. California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger seems to be doing very nicely, thank-you, with his mildly aggressive policy on global warming. The Conservatives in the UK are in a greener-than-thou competition with the Labour Party. On the far right in the UK, the British National Party (BNP) has been beavering away on a plan to deal with peak oil. |
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