Prices - May 15
by Staff
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Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), a unit of information and consultancy IHS Inc said that costs to build new refineries and petrochemical plants also rose 6 percent.
Jim Mulva, speaking at the company's annual shareholder meeting, said the spike in crude prices to historic highs has raised the tab to do business in the oil field dramatically, both for equipment and personnel. For example, Mulva said, a barrel of oil that might have cost $20 or $30 a barrel to find, produce and transport in the past may now cost the company $70 or $80 barrel. ... Mulva said the biggest factor in gasoline prices was the skyrocketing cost of crude. Speaking to reporters after the meeting, Mulva said his prediction late last year for the price of crude in 2008 was somewhere between $85 and $95 a barrel. He figured the slowing economy would take a toll on demand but acknowledged - like others - that market speculation, geopolitical turmoil and other factors have pushed prices higher.
The Paris watchdog's findings, published yesterday in its monthly oil market report, underline the shifting balance of power between the emerging economies in the East and the traditional powers in North America and Europe. Year on year the United States, the world's biggest oil consumer, is using 400,000 barrels less per day, equivalent to 2 per cent of its average daily consumption of 20m barrels. A slowdown of that magnitude would in the past have led to a sharp drop in the oil price. This is clearly no longer the case - oil hit a fresh high of more than $126 on Monday. Eduardo Lopez, an IEA analyst, said the role of America as oil price arbiter - it consumes one in every four barrels of the world's oil - has been greatly diminished.
"I am increasingly comfortable with the analysis which says the oil price is going to have to go to $200 before demand is dampened enough," Guinness, who is the chief investment officer of Guinness Atkinson Funds, told Reuters in an interview.
As crude prices breached another record yesterday, the Paris-based IEA downgraded its forecast of world petroleum consumption for 2008, saying that high prices and economic weakness in the industrialized world are eating into oil demand. But the developing world is bucking that trend, notably China and the Middle East, as booming economies and subsidized fuel have kept oil demand climbing sharply. |
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