United States - May 20
by Staff
Click on the headline (link) for the full text. Many more articles are available through the Energy Bulletin homepage The country’s foreign oil dependency is expected to fall from 60 per cent to 50 per cent in 2015, before rising again slightly to 54 per cent in 2030, according to the head of the Department of Energy’s statistical arm. The country's foreign oil dependency is expected to fall from 60 per cent to 50 per cent in 2015, before rising again slightly to 54 per cent in 2030, according to the head of the Department of Energy's statistical arm.
The first is that higher energy costs are here to stay. You don't have to buy Goldman Sachs's headline-grabbing forecast this month that crude will reach $200 a barrel. But it would be foolish to try to deny that in the immediate future, anything we do now will not stop prices rising. Oil is up by almost 30 per cent this year alone. That's not the fault of greedy energy companies, or that other current favourite, unscrupulous speculators. It is a simple fact of economic life in a world economy that is, in effect, experiencing a new industrial revolution among half its population. Even in the event of a serious recession in much of the developed world, energy demand is not going to change much. The second reality is that this is, in the end, at least in terms of the nexus of economics and energy policy, a Good Thing. It should force all of us in the West to redouble our efforts to diminish our dependence on oil. Fortunately, markets are quite effective at doing this. As we all know, the capitalist world - yes, even the US - is much more energy-efficient today than it was 40 years ago. For that we have the last great oil shock of the 1970s to thank. A third reality is that, at least for the foreseeable future, these higher prices will have enormous implications for geopolitics.
Robert Bryce has little time for the ideology of either the Neocons or the Greens and as for the politics and economics of ethanol, he argues that something is very rotten in the state of Iowa. His book: Gusher of lies: the dangerous delusions of "energy independence" |
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