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What gas glut?
by Staff
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Frank Chapman said the industry would need $2,000bn (£1,240bn) of investment to find and develop gas supplies equal to 20 times the current production of Norway to 2020.
These are some of the reasons I think natural gas optimism is misplaced: 1. The US is a natural gas importer. It does not produce as much natural gas as it consumes. Figure 1 shows the US has been a natural gas importer for many years, with Canada being the major source of imports. LNG has played a more minor role. The amounts imported have not been a large percentage of the total, but even now they are essential for keeping the prices down. The import amounts shown are on “net of exports” basis. In other words, LNG imports have been reduced by LNG exports (from Alaska to Japan), and Canadian imports have been reduced by exports of natural gas to Canada.
Raoul LeBlanc, director at PFC Energy, the consultancy, explains the US independents are rated by investors not only on the current price of the oil and gas they sell today, but also on the ability to grow reserves and production in the future. This has led to a growing number of deals such as Chesapeake’s to sell partial or entire acrage positions in US gas fields so these companies can afford to continue spending to acquire and drill acreage to grow their output and reserve base. The resulting glut has pushed gas down to the $4 per mBtu of recent months, significantly down from the $13.69 per mBtu record reached in 2008. These companies know if they stop spending to wait for improved prices, he said, they will have no growth in reserves or cash flow with which to impress investors... |
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